Tesla, once the undisputed leader in the electric vehicle (EV) market, is facing growing challenges. While CEO Elon Musk’s polarizing actions and political involvement have sparked backlash, the company’s struggles run deeper. From declining sales to increased competition, Tesla’s future success may depend on more than just its charismatic founder.
The Musk Effect
Elon Musk has been the face of Tesla since its early days, driving the company’s rise from a Silicon Valley startup to a global EV powerhouse. However, his recent political activities and controversial statements have alienated some customers. Protests at Tesla dealerships and vandalism of vehicles have been reported in the US, Canada, and Europe, with critics targeting Musk’s role in the Trump administration and his far-right political affiliations.
While Musk has dismissed these attacks as unjustified, research suggests his actions have harmed Tesla’s brand, particularly in Europe and Canada. In the US, the impact is more nuanced, but high-income EV buyers—Tesla’s core market—are increasingly considering competitors.
Sales Slump and Market Challenges
Tesla’s Model Y was the world’s best-selling car in 2023, but the company’s overall sales fell for the first time in over a decade. Profits also declined, and 2024 has started poorly, with significant drops in Europe and Australia. In China, Tesla faces stiff competition from local brands like BYD, which are rapidly gaining market share with affordable, high-quality EVs.
Analysts point to Tesla’s aging product lineup as a key issue. The Model S and Model X, once groundbreaking, have been on the market for over a decade. Even the newer Model 3 and Model Y are starting to look dated compared to offerings from competitors like Hyundai, Kia, and Chinese EV makers.
The Robotaxi Dream
Musk’s focus on autonomous driving and robotaxis has raised eyebrows. While he has repeatedly promised a fully autonomous Tesla fleet, progress has been slow. The company’s “Full Self-Driving” system still requires driver supervision, and Musk’s latest claim of launching a robotaxi service in Texas by June 2024 has been met with skepticism.
Experts argue that Tesla needs to prioritize its core business—producing innovative, high-quality EVs—rather than chasing futuristic projects. “Every year, we get new promises from Musk about autonomous cars, but they never seem to materialize,” says automotive consultant Jay Nagley.
Leadership Concerns
Musk’s divided attention is another concern. In addition to running Tesla, he oversees SpaceX, X (formerly Twitter), and xAI, while also serving in the Trump administration. This has led to questions about his ability to focus on Tesla’s challenges.
“Tesla needs someone with strong automotive experience and a 100% commitment to the industry,” says Professor Peter Wells of Cardiff University. “Musk’s hands-on management has been key to Tesla’s success, but his current workload may be stretching him too thin.”
Calls for Change
Some investors and analysts are calling for new leadership at Tesla. Ross Gerber, a long-term shareholder, has publicly urged Musk to step down, arguing that a dedicated CEO could address the company’s challenges and restore its reputation.
“A new CEO would help Tesla move past the toxic association with Musk and focus on innovation and growth,” says Matthias Schmidt of Schmidt Automotive Research. “It’s time for a change in direction.”
The Road Ahead
Despite its challenges, Tesla remains a dominant player in the EV market, valued at over 100 times its earnings. However, with competition intensifying and Musk’s controversies casting a shadow, the company must adapt to stay ahead.
Whether Tesla can regain its momentum may depend on its ability to innovate, refresh its product lineup, and address the growing concerns of its customers and investors. One thing is clear: the road ahead will require more than just Elon Musk’s vision.